Will Team Serbia rise to the occasion, or will the visiting veterans spoil one of the biggest nights in the country’s MMA history? Here are my full UFC Belgrade main card predictions.
The UFC makes history on August 1 with its first-ever event in Serbia, and the promotion has stacked the main card with local stars looking to deliver in front of a passionate Belgrade crowd. Uroš Medić headlines the card against veteran Daniel Rodriguez, Aleksandar Rakić makes his long-awaited heavyweight debut, while Duško Todorović also gets the chance to perform in front of his home fans.
UFC Belgrade predictions cheat sheet
| Fight | Pick | Method | Confidence |
| Uroš Medić vs. Daniel Rodriguez | Uroš Medić | KO/TKO R2 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆ |
| Jan Błachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling | Navajo Stirling | Unanimous Decision | ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆ |
| Aleksandar Rakić vs. Marcin Tybura | Aleksandar Rakić | Unanimous Decision | ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆ |
| Duško Todorović vs. Robert Valentin | Robert Valentin | Unanimous Decision | ⭐⭐⭐☆☆ |
Best bets for UFC Belgrade
- Uroš Medić Moneyline ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Uroš Medić by KO/TKO ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆
- Aleksandar Rakić Moneyline ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆
- Navajo Stirling by Decision ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆
- Fight Doesn’t Go the Distance (Medić vs. Rodriguez) ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆
UFC Belgrade odds overview
| Fight | Odds |
| Uroš Medić vs. Daniel Rodriguez | Medić -390 (1.26) | Rodriguez +310 (4.10) |
| Jan Błachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling | Błachowicz +260 (3.60) | Stirling -320 (1.31) |
| Aleksandar Rakić vs. Marcin Tybura | Rakić -340 (1.29) | Tybura +270 (3.70) |
| Duško Todorović vs. Robert Valentin | Todorović +140 (2.40) | Valentin -170 (1.59) |
Best betting sites for UFC Belgrade
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Uroš Medić vs. Daniel Rodriguez prediction
The UFC could hardly have asked for a better headliner. Medić has developed into one of the promotion’s most exciting finishers and enters on a four-fight winning streak, while Rodriguez returns after an extraordinary eight-month absence that included time spent in a Mexican prison.
Rodriguez deserves respect for putting together three consecutive victories before the layoff, but the circumstances surrounding his preparation are impossible to ignore. At nearly 40 years old, rebuilding after losing significant muscle mass and missing valuable training time is a massive challenge.
Medić, meanwhile, continues to improve with every appearance. His speed, straight left hand and ability to close distance make him one of the most dangerous early starters in the division. Fighting in front of a home crowd should only add to the momentum.
Prediction: Uroš Medić by second-round TKO.
The former champion will have moments, but over fifteen minutes the younger fighter’s activity should separate him on the scorecards.
Jan Błachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling prediction
This co-main event feels like a classic crossroads fight. Błachowicz remains one of the toughest veterans in the division, but at 43 years old the physical decline is becoming increasingly noticeable. His power remains dangerous, yet his footwork and explosiveness simply aren’t what they once were.
Stirling appears to be arriving at exactly the right moment. The undefeated City Kickboxing prospect has looked more complete with every UFC appearance, combining disciplined striking with improving wrestling and excellent distance management.
The former champion will have moments, but over fifteen minutes the younger fighter’s activity should separate him on the scorecards.
Prediction: Navajo Stirling by unanimous decision.
Aleksandar Rakić vs. Marcin Tybura prediction
Rakić’s four-fight losing streak looks ugly on paper, but context matters. Those defeats came against elite light heavyweight competition rather than declining opposition.
His move to heavyweight may actually revive his career. Stylistically, Tybura presents a favorable matchup. The Polish veteran relies on pressure and grappling, but at 40 years old he no longer possesses the speed needed to consistently cut off mobile opponents.
Rakić should enjoy significant advantages in athleticism, movement and striking technique. As long as he avoids extended clinch exchanges, he should comfortably outpoint Tybura over three rounds.
Prediction: Aleksandar Rakić by unanimous decision.
Duško Todorović vs. Robert Valentin prediction
This could quietly be one of the most competitive fights on the card. Todorović owns the wrestling advantage and has far more UFC experience, but Valentin appears to have the more dangerous weapons everywhere else. His striking is cleaner, he carries genuine finishing power, and his submission game makes every grappling exchange risky.
The Serbian crowd may help Todorović steal moments, but over fifteen minutes Valentin’s versatility should gradually become the deciding factor.
Prediction: Robert Valentin by unanimous decision.
UFC Belgrade Predictions Final Thoughts
The UFC has clearly built this event around its Serbian stars, and two of them are in excellent positions to deliver. Medić has the perfect opportunity to announce himself as a legitimate welterweight contender, while Rakić’s heavyweight debut could breathe new life into his career after years spent facing the light heavyweight elite.
Not every hometown favorite is expected to celebrate, however. I believe Robert Valentin spoils Duško Todorović’s night, while Navajo Stirling continues his rapid ascent by defeating former champion Jan Błachowicz.
Overall, expect Serbia to finish the night with two huge victories and one breakout star. If Medić performs as expected in the main event, Belgrade could become remembered as the night he officially entered the UFC welterweight rankings.